-Future-Of-Sports-Watches Featured Garmin Insider News Polar Insider Suunto Insider

[Sep2024] Sports Watch & Bike Computer Update: All new Models, Planned, Rumors + dates for all Garmin, Apple, Polar, Suunto, Wahoo

Sports Watch & Bike Computer Update

V2.5.59 – 11 Sep 2024

This article summarises recently released sports watches, bike computers, and next-gen models that are inbound i.e. Garmin (Edge, Forerunner, Instinct, Venu, Fenix/Epix), Polar (Grit, Vantage, Pacer), Coros (Vertix, apex, Pace, Dura) and more.

I never include info here that contravenes NDAs. Elsewhere on the site, there are LOTS of detailed hands-on reviews on virtually all of the key run/tri watches and bike computers that you can BUY NOW.

If you are here for the first time and interested in ‘future sports devices & feature sports tech developments‘ this post discussing the future of individual technology features will make a good read.

The information here is usually based on quality leaks, industry chats, dual-sourced rumours, the extrapolation of past product release cycles, wider technological changes & their availability. Almost all of these new product ‘predictions’ will happen but precise timings are never set in stone.

 

RECAP: Recent Highlights

Key Trend: The latest models of most key sports watches have been updated with the widespread use of AMOLED screens and dual-frequency, multi-constellation ‘GPS’ chipsets. Additionally, there’s a noticeable increase in the use of high-quality materials at more affordable prices. Most brands have transitioned to a newer generation(s) of more energy-efficient heart rate sensors capable of HRV/ECG/SpO2 and other peripheral wellness metrics, such as temperature. All these hardware improvements are trickling down to the lower ends of each vendor’s ranges. The significance of sports physiology is gaining attention beyond Garmin/Firstbeat/Polar, although there have been very few noteworthy additions to the range of sports physiology features. It seems we have reached a stage of maturity in both technology and the functionalities sports watches offer

 

What’s Next From Garmin for 2024/25

Fenix 8 represents the death of the old screen format. It’s Epix 3 in all but name. The real Fenix is now a niche product, destined to be the bastion of Solar tech

  • ✔️Lily 2 (Q1.2024) plus ✔️ HRM-FIT
  • ✔️Forerunner 165 (14 Feb 2024)
  • ✔️Edge 1050 (June 25, 2024)
  • ✔️Enduro 3/2s – (27 August)
  • ✔️Fenix 8 – (27 August)
  • ✔️Fenix E – (27 August)
  • Instinct 3 (June 2024 – the product will happen, first rumour for Q4.2024)
  • Edge 140 (June 19, 2024 – product is speculation but due, not rumoured)
  • Venu SQ 3 (Q4.2024 – date is speculation, not rumoured)
  • Venu 3 Plus (Oct 2025 – date is speculation, not rumoured)
  • Forerunner 975 (May 2025, not rumoured, will happen)
  • Fenix 8 Pro (Aug 2025)
  • Fenix 8 MicroLED (Aug 2025)
  • Tactix 8: Jan 2025
  • Descent MK4i: (2026/7)
  • D2 Mach 2: Jan 2025
  • Quatix 8: Feb 2025
  • Rally 2 (no known plans for 2024)
  • ? Forerunner 755 LTE aka FR965s
  • Refreshed Accessories (usually released in Q1-Q3 timeframe) eg HRM-FIT, Varia Vision, Varia Radar

Garmin’s Next-Gen technologies will be these…see image below!

  • Micro-LED (2025 for sure!)
  • LTE (more advanced, maybe 2025)
  • Continuous ECG sports Features (chest strap, Maybe 2025)
  • New NIRS/optical sensing abilities (sweat, lactate, creatinine, maybe 2025)
  • Satellite messaging on-watch (further ahead than 2025 perhaps)
  • Solar AMOLED (as soon as 2025, or never)

 

 

The easiest cycling product to predict should be the Edge 140 but it’s not arrived. Expect it to be unchanged in size from its predecessor with trickle-down features from 540/840 and improved hardware components over the 130+

Key Trend: Expect this to be a trickle-down year where the software and hardware features we know about are rolled down from the top-end models to the middle and lower-end ones. Expect more sizes for models that currently are only sold in one size and expect a thoughtful and progressive introduction of AMOLED screens to ever-cheaper models. Finally, expect Garmin to continue to use premium materials to justify its price premiums on some models.

On the running/triathlon side of things, now that we have the Forerunner 165 there is no real Amoled gap in Garmin’s offerings. A smaller 965, perhaps called a 755 or 965s, would probably include whatever Garmin chooses to do next with LTE before the Fenix 8 Pro gets it. Don’t forget that the Forerunner 265s already gives the smaller format option to people who want a triathlon watch, perhaps Garmin has decided there isn’t the market for a top-end small format triathlon watch.

Also now launched is Enduro 3 MIP+Solar for the Ultra community.

The 645/655 product gap seems discontinued, so don’t expect anything there.

For adventure products, the Enduro 3 and Fenix 8 represent the high-end with more to follow. There could be a gap in the Instinct range for an AMOLED version – I’m in two minds about that as one of the negative differentiators of Instinct is the poorer screen compared to Fenix. Garmin won’t want to cannibalise too many Epix/Fenix sales to Instinct by making Instinct/Enduro too good.

I expect an Instinct 3 Q1.2025 at the latest.

In my opinion, Solar has its place only in MIP-screen watches and possibly on bike computers. The usefulness of SOLAR is restricted by the fact that sufficiently awesome battery lives are possible without solar. So do we ever need solar on FENIX amoled watches? I think not. That said, we will see solar Fenix models despite there not being a widespread need for them. We’ll probably see Solar AMOLED watches too because it should be profitable for Garmin! 😉

It looks like we will see a Fenix 8/Fenix E in H2.2024.

Garmin secured patents for SOLAR (AM)OLED in 2022, maybe that will be the new feature innovation for high-end watches we see in 2025 alongside LTE.

 

The problem with all my predictions is that there aren’t enough. Garmin needs more new products than that in 2024/5 to keep the shareholders happy.

So there has to be a ‘next big thing’ in terms of a piece of tech that justifies a set of refreshed and renumbered models. The most likely are micro-LED displays and more advanced LTE. However, the technology for the former (on watches) will not be ready at scale and low enough cost until 2025. I’m still unconvinced Garmin can produce meaningful LTE features given its restrictive access to iPhone features. That said, December 2023 gave us insights into the new CIQ capabilities for 2024 and these give strong clues about the upcoming headline features for new watches and DO hint at new LTE capabilities rather than anything else (Garmin released an LTE dog collar in July 2024)

Deep Dive: Decoding Garmin’s CIQ 7 Software – The Connect IQ Features That Will Power 2024 Watch Models

The current Elevate Gen 5 HR sensor is a recent innovation with ECG capabilities. That tech will eventually be rolled to most watch ranges over the next 3 (three) years in some form but I’m not at all excited by the prospect and suspect that much of the SPORTS market won’t be as well. Wrist-based ECG is highly limited and nothing like what is offered by Fourth Frontier X2. Garmin needs ECG approval in multiple geographies, which considerably slows down its rollout.

So where are the next-gen HR sensors that can sense novel biomarkers? Apple is supposedly lining up its new sensor package for 2025, so it’s plausible that conservative Garmin could sneak ahead of cautious Apple on that front. Things will become clearer in the first half of 2024 *IF* the more aggressive Asian brands introduce new (sensor) technologies. Where they lead, Garmin and Apple follow soon after.

Next Gen Sports Sensors for 2023 and beyond – Lactate, blood pressure, hydration, creatinine

2024: I see fewer new products than the norm for recent years. It could be a bad year for Garmin FITNESS/OUTDOOR. It could be a turning point for the sports device market generally.

Suunto, Polar, Wahoo, Hammerhead, Coros & Other Sport-focussed GPS Watches

I don’t expect anything excitingly new here in 2024 unless Suunto or Polar re-enter the Wear OS market. Those companies have no other way to get support for on-device payments (see linked article for workaround) and Spotify inside the watch, so you would have thought they have to jump on the Wear OS wagon at some point in the next 5 years or be left a long way behind on the smart features they can offer. Set against that is the closing up of the latest versions of WearOS to Samsung/Google-only products.

These companies all have mostly predictable product ranges and refresh strategies although Suunto is the most likely to surprise us as evidenced in recent months with the excellent Suunto RACE and Shokz-like headphones (Suunto Wing). That said, Polar is taking a similar but distinct route by opening up its platform to Sennheiser’s optical HR earbuds… Suunto has opened up its app to Xiaomi too.

Coros

This is speculative information

  • ✔️ Vertix 2S – modest hardware refresh
  • Apex 3 AMOLED, Q3.2024
  • Vertix 3 + 3 AMOLED, Q3.2024
  • ✔️ Coros DURA  – 19 June 2024
  • ? Pace 3 Pro (large)
  • ? Other

Coros is likely to prove an interesting company to follow in 2024. They’ve taken Apex/Pace and Vertix as far as they need to with the capabilities of the product internals. The obvious omission is AMOLED which I expect to see first with Apex 3 and then perhaps Vertix 3, with Pace 4 AMOLED coming as early as Q2.2025.

I don’t think we will ever see a Coros Solar watch. Instead, like Garmin, I think the best we will see is a MIP version of Vertix 3 remaining alongside Vertix 3 AMOLED but the rest of the range will eventually move to AMOLED, with an outside possibility that Coros could skip a generation of tech and go straight to micro LED screens.

Musing: I don’t see any new watch sub-brands created by Coros. Instead, it makes more sense we will see a larger version of Pace 3 (like Garmin Enduro) or a smaller version of Vertix 2. This would follow a similar theme to what the company has done with the Apex 2 Pro successor to its smaller Apex 2 sibling. Maybe we will see something completely different.

The new Coros DURA bike computer adds a solar boost to market-leading battery life. It’s not the prettiest of bike computers but will be one of the easiest to operate by way of a large digital Crown on the side. It appears to have the same depth of features found on the watches. No more, no less. (It’s basically a big watch with a solar panel in a rectangular case).

Polar

This is speculative information

Next up from Polar will be AMOLED versions of Pacer (Pro), maybe a lower-end triathlon model and maybe also the Unite (fitness) watch. I would expect Pacer/Unite much later in the year.

Set against that we could SPECULATIVELY say that Unite might be a poor performer in terms of profit generation and could be skipped or dropped.

Suunto

This is speculative information

  • ✔️New Suunto Vertical SOLAR, March 2024 (minor iteration)
  • ✔️New Suunto OCEAN
  • ✔️ New Suunto Race S
  • Suunto 5 PEAK PRO AMOLED Q3.2024 or another RACE-branded version at a lower price point or
  • Suunto 9 PEAK PRO AMOLED/VERTICAL AMOLED Q3.2024

I hope Suunto Race/Race S AMOLED are successes. If so, it might give Suunto the confidence to price lower with new AMOLED versions of 9/9 Peak and 5/5 Peak. I don’t think we will see a Suunto 3 AMOLED fitness watch as that end of the market gets evermore competitive each year, Suunto could conceivably introduce a cut-down version of RACE with lower quality materials but it would need to offer something extra to the lower end of the market, perhaps smart features?

TAG HEUER

The TAG Heuer Calibre E5 was expected in H1.2024 but that is now rumoured to be delayed until 2025.

TAG was known to be prototyping microLED screens and would have been the first to release that technology in volume. Like other players, high screen costs have delayed the adoption of the technology. However, it was thought that TAG could absorb such high component costs in its high sale price.

Wahoo

This is speculative information

  • Wahoo TRACKR
  • Wahoo ELEMNT BOLT 3
  • Wahoo ELEMNT RIVAL 2 – not happening
  • Wahoo KICKR Run super-smart treadmill Q3.2024 (USA) – Q1.2025 (globally)
  • Wahoo is also due to update several of its peripheral products like the TICKR HRMs, CLIMB and HEADWIND

Wahoo is now on a firm financial footing and BF 2023 sales have cleaned the company of Rival stock in Europe. I had hoped for a RIVAL 2 which was previously planned but a recent interview with DCR and Chip (CEO) says no watch is due. Rival has been sold at $/£99 on a few occasions now. It has awesome value and sells well. Wahoo could get some more made and sell for minimal profits just to undermine the competition and keep its brand name up.

I assume Bolt 3 is likely for 2024, with ROAM 3 more likely in Q2.2025. Expect a spec bump with better battery lives, a better GPS chip and a better colour touchscreen (perhaps larger but not AMOLED)

Hammerhead

Released

These will become a part of the SRAM groupsets. Don’t expect Karoo 4 until 2026.

Apple

Watch 9, Ultra 2 and iPhone 15 Pro are the models that will support Apple Intelligence. I expect every key Apple device going forward to have the new CPU and compatibility with Apple Intelligence.

This is speculative information.

  • Apple Watch 10 – Q3.2024. Maybe…just maybe ;-). Rumoured heavily to be 42/46mm
  • Apple Watch will feature updated algorithms to detect hypertension and Sleep Apnea. Larger screen sizes are strongly rumoured.

We will probably not get an Ultra 3 until 2025 (just a guess). Ultra 2 is already AI-capable.

Don’t get excited by features the Apple-rumour sites want to see or the hardware upgrades they won’t get. Micro LED screens and super-sensors WILL come but that’s for 2025.

Google

Google will iterate the Pixel watch annually. The Fitbit brand will only continue in software and on lower-end fitness trackers. There will be no more Fitbit watches.

  • August 2024: Pixel 3, 41mm and 45mm

Interestingly, it seems that Google has been working very diligently over the last year and the next set of Pixel firmware on Pixel 3 looks highly polished and broadly in line with the running, recovery and sleep features on the Apple Watch.

Samsung

  • Samsung Galaxy Watch 7 (Standard) – July 10th, $299
  • Samsung Galaxy Watch 7 (ultra) – July 10th, $699
  • plus a smart ring tied to Samsung phones. They want to bind you into a one-brand ecosystem.

2024 again sees the sports tech brands & products at an interesting juncture.

The era of companies easily adopting technological leaps for continuously expanding global markets has ended. Significant advancements are now challenging to achieve, and the certainty of ongoing economic growth in Europe is no longer guaranteed.

Global powers (countries) are making significant geopolitical moves to secure their positions in a *deglobalising* world for the rest of the Century. There’s a decline in birthrates, mass population migrations, and changing climates. Smartphones and smartwatches have reached a mature or peak stage of development. Only the USA possesses the security, size, raw materials, population demographics, democratic structures, and growth potential necessary for a country to prosper in an unstable, deglobalising world. (Brit here, we’re stuffed as is the EU! 51st state anyone? #NAFTA)

  • Garmin has filled all the main product niches. Looking at geographical expansion, can a US-Taiwan-based company improve market share in markets like China? Probably not.
  • Polar still has no running track mode and once admitted it can’t compete in triathlon. Its web platform and app may get a makeover, the first hints at that come as Flow Sync has entered sunsetting. Wear OS is an unlikely possibility.
  • Suunto seems to be moving in many of the right directions – aesthetics, price and on-watch apps. Its Chinese owners can likely make the Suunto brand sell more in Asian markets and hence have more confidence to expand the brand offering beyond what we currently see with Haylou (part of the same group). It will need more than 3rd party watch faces from its app store or a Wear OS model to become a key player.
Suunto’s other products

 

  • Coros has done very well in the last few years but faces the dilemma of incorporating competitively priced modern hardware at its chosen price points. I don’t see it making much profit from Vertix/Apex; so it’s a small company that makes its profit in the volume game with Pace 3/4. That volume game requires noticeably lower prices than Garmin and it requires Garmin not to care too much about what Coros does…or Garmin will crush it (FR165). Coros risks disaster if it makes one key mistake with its limited range of products – DURA’s launch indicates that the company can perfectly self-implode without any help, but will be OK for now.
  • Wahoo has many technological ways forward for its excellent product range but the indoor bike training market must not be the cash generator it once was. There’s probably little scope for Kickr Move 2 to be any different to the current model, the company is refocusing its online training services, and competition is hot at the lower end of the trainer market. So can Wahoo make a financial go of 2 new bike computers and a treadmill over 2024/25? IDK. It won’t be easy.
  • Smaller companies like Sigma, Bryton, igSport and Magene will continue to innovate as they catch up technologically but I can’t see any of them making much progress in their market shares in Western Europe or North America. Magene is most likely to be the ‘best of the rest’.
  • There are a large number of lesser-known smartwatch and sports watch brands emanating from SE Asia and India. It would just take one of them to get some financial backing and buy Polar to become a global player rather than a struggling regional player few in the West have heard of.

Garmin Fenix 7

Smart Fitness, Wear OS, WatchOS & Similar Smarts

As I’ve now said for several years that the end-game is: Apple’s watchOS vs Google/Samsung’s Wear OS vs Domination of low prices by Asian brands (China/India).

Proprietary sports platforms like Garmin, Polar, Suunto, Wahoo , Coros will still be here in 3 year’s time. But…how big will they be?

I would bet money that this year will bring ever-more competent SMART watches to eat into the traditional customer base of sports watches: high-end Pixel 3, Apple Watch 10/X, Apple Watch SE Gen 3 and Samsung Galaxy Watch7. EVERY year they get better, and every year Garmin’s obvious feature dominance is ever so slightly blurred.

The long-awaited Wear OS bounce has happened and it’s apparent that Samsung and Google got first dibs at new versions of Wear OS before the likes of Michael Kors/Fossil. Now, Fossil has decided to exit the Wear OS market.

Something big needs to happen to disrupt markets and change the medium-term trajectory. Be that a war over Taiwan or the EU forcing Apple to open up iMessage to a common API. Without such disruptions, the inevitable trajectory is for the Apple vs Google/Samsung stand-off.

Coros Pace 1 vs Pace 3 vs Pace 2 – rear view

Huami (Amazfit/Zepp), Huawei, Realme, Redmi, TicWatch and others will continue in the battle of the budget smartwatches. Several of these have significant sales figures in some Far Eastern markets and some products might even be described as increasingly competent. Indeed we now see the Chinese companies building up significant competencies and sales volumes in their domestic markets before using that strength in other geographic markets.

Many of those companies cannot cross-sell watches with a top smartphone from the same brand. Even those with a decent partner smartphone like Huawei face other issues (Huawei is effectively excluded from many Western markets for political/security reasons).

This is it. Image|Coros FB

Bike Computers – Hope or Hopeless?

Garmin dominates this sector, with Wahoo as the main challenger brand. The long-term impact of SRAM/Hammerhead Karoo 3 remains uncertain, but it is viewed as a hopeful contender with realistic success potential. Lower-end brands, such as Lezyne or budget, high-spec options like Bryton (Taiwan)/Magene(China),  Mio Cyclo (MiTAC, Taiwan), Navihood, TRIMM, CYCPLUS and iGPSPORT (Korea) appear to face challenges to get even the smallest of footholds in non-Asian markets

Wahoo, adept at maintaining secrecy, is not expected to leak information; so keep quietly hoping for exciting developments with ROAM/BOLT. Despite already offering medium and large-format performance satnavs, Wahoo seems to cover most commercial bases in the bike computer market. Apart from iterative model strategies, there are few gaps for significant profitable sales of bike computers. Perhaps Wahoo could make a Varia-like smart radar and light system.

While Apple, Google, and potentially Asian players in domestic markets may dominate the global watch market, Garmin stands strong in the bike computer domain. Many challengers exist to Garmin’s Edge Series but only Wahoo & SRAM-Hammerhead seem to be coherent challengers with decent marketing and tech combos. Whilst they lack in the feature count stakes, they are catching up, but catch-up is difficult. Will Bolt 3/Roam 3 withstand an onslaught from Edge 550/850/1050? It’s an interesting market position to debate as Garmin Edge will NOT pull further ahead in terms of features or market share as their tech is already well-advanced and their market position is too dominant. Catching up in each of those respects is easier than in it for Garmin to pull further ahead.

Smaller companies face a challenging task in surpassing Garmin in cycling. The likelihood of a new product outperforming Garmin is higher if it’s Android-based, owing to the potential advantages of easier app integration and a shorter development cycle, as seen with the Karoo. Stages, with its L200/M200, seemed interested in this competition, but the company’s bankruptcy has dealt a fatal blow to the DASH model.

Garmin’s focus on higher price points may leave room for smaller companies like Bryton, Sigma, Lezyne, iGSport and CatEye to compete in the lower-priced, less profitable arena. Ancient rumours about Polar releasing a bike computer are ever-wishful thinking.

While there are well-featured bike computers like Stages M200/L200, Sigma ROX 12 EVO, and high-end Bryton models, they seem to lack the unique appeal that propels them to Wahoo’s level. Wahoo BOLT Gen 1‘s enduring success beyond its fourth birthday suggests that many riders prioritize reliability, user-friendliness, or brand image over high technology. 

Then comes Coros. Make a sentence from these words CAT, PIGEON, AMONGST. coros will struggle to expand beyond a relatively small cycling niche unless it adopts predatory pricing strategies. As was exemplified by the launch of DURA, making a competent bike navigation device is a complex, multi-year endeavour.

That’s all.

 

Lists of all Firmware Updates

Please let me know of any I’ve missed

Also useful for checking compatibility and new ANT+ devices. VERY occasionally you might see a special ‘leak’ appear here by accident.

Subscriber-Only Content

The following link covers a discussion of the trends in emerging technology and new technology – for example covering payments, GPS, OHR, Safety, Mapping and much more.

Recommended Reading: Endurance Technology Trends

END, thank you for your support. This all takes a considerable amount of time and ad revenues are extremely low.

 

Reader-Powered Content

This content is not sponsored. It’s mostly me behind the labour of love which is this site and I appreciate everyone who follows, subscribes or Buys Me A Coffee ❤️ Alternatively please buy the reviewed product from my partners. Thank you! FTC: Affiliate Disclosure: Links pay commission. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

wp_footer()